Prediction: Matilde Mariani vs Sofia Avataneo
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Matilde Mariani; the market gives 75% to Matilde Mariani (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Matilde Mariani is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sofia Avataneo 5-5 over theirs.
| Matilde Mariani | Sofia Avataneo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matilde Mariani 2–0 Sofia Avataneo (2).
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Mariani | Sofia Avataneo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.7 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 54.2% |
H2H · Matilde Mariani 2 – 0 Sofia Avataneo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matilde Mariani 2–0 Sofia Avataneo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 W15 Monastir | 2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/06/24 W15 Hillcrest | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Mariani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Summer Yardley W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Eloise Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sofia Avataneo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Mika Buchnik W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Sapir Cohen W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Mariani vs Sofia Avataneo?
Our model gives 65% to Matilde Mariani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.