Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 07/07, 18:00
Prediction: Hugo Hashimoto vs Kyle Overmyer
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Hugo Hashimoto; the market gives 72% to Hugo Hashimoto (odds 1.30).
Recent form leaves Hugo Hashimoto with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Kyle Overmyer has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Hashimoto 1512 · Kyle Overmyer 1394
| Hugo Hashimoto | Kyle Overmyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Hashimoto (rating 1512 vs 1394).
- Hugo Hashimoto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hugo Hashimoto | Kyle Overmyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.1 | 9.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Hashimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Henry Ren M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Liam Krall M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Toa Maeda UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Woong Bi Lee M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Avner Wong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Kyle Overmyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Marcel Latak M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Andre Souza M25 San Jose |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 01/02 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/12 | Vlad Cristian Breazu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/12 | Keenan Mayo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/12 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/12 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/12 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Hashimoto vs Kyle Overmyer?
Our model gives 70% to Hugo Hashimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.