Tennis · W50 Columbus · 07/07, 17:30
Prediction: Tatum Evans vs Thara Gowda
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Tatum Evans; the market gives 79% to Tatum Evans (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Tatum Evans with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Thara Gowda has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatum Evans 1604 · Thara Gowda 1490
| Tatum Evans | Thara Gowda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatum Evans (rating 1604 vs 1490).
- Head-to-head: Tatum Evans 1–0 Thara Gowda (1).
- Note: Tatum Evans makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Thara Gowda makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Tatum Evans | Thara Gowda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.2 | 9.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Tatum Evans 1 – 0 Thara Gowda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatum Evans 1–0 Thara Gowda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 W15 Lakewood | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatum Evans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Briley Rhoden W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ariana Arseneault W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Elvira Juravliova W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Thara Gowda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caroline Driscoll W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Brooke Kwon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Tia Messerli W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Emily Robertson W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 07/03 | Ariana Arseneault W15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 06/03 | Nadia Lagaev W15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/03 | Jada Robinson W15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatum Evans vs Thara Gowda?
Our model gives 73% to Tatum Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.