Tennis · Challenger Liege · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Luca Staeheli
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Luca Staeheli; the market gives 71% to Buvaysar Gadamauri (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Buvaysar Gadamauri is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Luca Staeheli 6-4 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buvaysar Gadamauri 1554 · Luca Staeheli 1558
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12 | 12.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Courtney John Lock Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Abel Hernandez-Aguila Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/05 | Tito Chavez M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Luca Staeheli?
Our model gives 61% to Buvaysar Gadamauri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.