Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 07/07, 11:10
Prediction: Pietro Orlando Fellin vs Francesco Passaro
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Pietro Orlando Fellin; the market gives 77% to Francesco Passaro (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Pietro Orlando Fellin is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Francesco Passaro 7-3 over theirs.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1607 · Francesco Passaro 1489
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Orlando Fellin (rating 1607 vs 1489).
- Pietro Orlando Fellin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.1 | 11.3-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Johannes Ingildsen Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Matyas Cerny M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Radovan Michalik M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abel Forger M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Francesco Passaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/02 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/02 | Elmer Moller ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/02 | Ignacio Buse ATP Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Orlando Fellin vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 57% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.