Tennis · W15 Astana · 07/07, 09:00
Prediction: Ximena Senties vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Sandugash Kenzhibayeva; the market gives 83% to Sandugash Kenzhibayeva (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Ximena Senties is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sandugash Kenzhibayeva 2-8 over theirs.
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ximena Senties 1423 · Sandugash Kenzhibayeva 1444
| Ximena Senties | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ximena Senties makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Sandugash Kenzhibayeva makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Ximena Senties | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-12.2 | 8.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 46.1% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ximena Senties
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03 | Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Arantxa Sanchez Bahamon W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/03 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 16/11 | Camille Allegre ITF W50 Chihuahua Qual |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Carolina Bohrer Martins ITF W15 Santa Tecla |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Carolina Kuhl ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Sophia Biolay ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
0-2 | 1-10 | L |
| 31/07 | Camille Allegre W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Marina Markina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Anna Yang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Daria Shubina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Liuyan An W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lexue Xiao W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ximena Senties vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva?
Our model gives 70% to Sandugash Kenzhibayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.