Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 07/07, 15:30
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Samir Hamza Reguig
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Olle Wallin; the market gives 86% to Olle Wallin (odds 1.10).
Recent form leaves Olle Wallin with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Samir Hamza Reguig has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1579 · Samir Hamza Reguig 1554
| Olle Wallin | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.6 | 11.6-8.3 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Noah Martens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Samir Hamza Reguig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Marius Partal Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Vuk Radjenovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Deren Yigin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Emerson Pedro Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Seabo Saleshando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Samuel Agbesi Osei Antwi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Ismael C R Mzai Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Samir Hamza Reguig?
Our model gives 72% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.