Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Jelle Sels vs Deney Wassermann

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Jelle Sels; the market gives 75% to Jelle Sels (odds 1.25).

Recent form leaves Jelle Sels with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Deney Wassermann has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

64%1
64% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jelle Sels 1483 · Deney Wassermann 1473
Jelle SelsDeney Wassermann
Our model51%49%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Jelle Sels 1–0 Deney Wassermann (1).

Statistics

Jelle SelsDeney Wassermann
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)9.9-11.610.5-10
Aces2.91.2
Double faults13.6
1st serve %63.5%58.6%
Break %40.9%28%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

H2H · Jelle Sels 10 Deney Wassermann (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jelle Sels 10 Deney Wassermann

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DateSetsGamesRes.
02/07/22
ITF M25 Den Haag
2-114-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jelle Sels

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
30/06 Yuichiro Inui
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
23/06 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Francesco Forti
Challenger Perugia · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
01/06 Lorenzo Carboni
Challenger Perugia · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
31/05 Edoardo Betti
Challenger Perugia · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/05 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
1-2 8-16 L
24/05 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
17/05 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Cervia · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/04 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Deney Wassermann

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Felix Romeo
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
1-2 9-8 L
01/04 Ivan Ivanov
M25 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
31/03 Benoit Torcq
M25 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/03 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M25 Tarragona · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
24/03 Antoni Fabre
M25 Tarragona · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
31/01 Juliusz Bienkiewicz
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 9-13 L
30/01 Sil Hollemans
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 16-13 W
28/01 Rein Koenders
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-7 W
27/01 Ammar Elamin
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-8 W
26/01 Alex Blanchar Salva
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jelle Sels vs Deney Wassermann?

Our model gives 64% to Jelle Sels, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.