Tennis · M15 Wuning · 08/07, 04:00
Prediction: Ye Cong Mo vs Daniil Sarksian
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Ye Cong Mo; the market gives 71% to Ye Cong Mo (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, Ye Cong Mo sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Daniil Sarksian arrives on a 4-6 run.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ye Cong Mo 1514 · Daniil Sarksian 1440
| Ye Cong Mo | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ye Cong Mo (rating 1514 vs 1440).
- Head-to-head: Ye Cong Mo 1–0 Daniil Sarksian (1).
Statistics
| Ye Cong Mo | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.9 | 11.2-12 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Ye Cong Mo 1 – 0 Daniil Sarksian (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ye Cong Mo 1–0 Daniil Sarksian
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 M15 Maanshan | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ye Cong Mo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/06 | Xirui Han M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Shion Yamada M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Yue Xia M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Rigele Te M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Daniil Sarksian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/06 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nicola Ion M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Semen Pankin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Maksim Shin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ye Cong Mo vs Daniil Sarksian?
Our model gives 66% to Ye Cong Mo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.