Prediction: Anastasiia Gureva vs Maria Kalyakina
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Maria Kalyakina; the market gives 61% to Maria Kalyakina (odds 1.53).
Over their last 10 matches, Anastasiia Gureva sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Maria Kalyakina arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Anastasiia Gureva | Maria Kalyakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Anastasiia Gureva 0–1 Maria Kalyakina (1).
- Note: Anastasiia Gureva makes many double faults (6.1/match).
- Note: Maria Kalyakina makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Anastasiia Gureva | Maria Kalyakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.6 | 8.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 49.1% |
H2H · Anastasiia Gureva 0 – 1 Maria Kalyakina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anastasiia Gureva 0–1 Maria Kalyakina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/26 W15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasiia Gureva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Fiona Crawley ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Olivia Lincer ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/11 | Chukwumelije Clarke ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/11 | Aya Manning ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Monika Ekstrand ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Ava Rodriguez ITF W100 Macon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Eva Guerrero Alvarez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
Maria Kalyakina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Meiling Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Hyeongju Han W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Liuyan An W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sohyun Park W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasiia Gureva vs Maria Kalyakina?
Our model gives 58% to Maria Kalyakina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.