Prediction: Sora Fukuda vs Yusuke Takahashi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Sora Fukuda; the market gives 56% to Yusuke Takahashi (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Sora Fukuda is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Yusuke Takahashi 7-3 over theirs.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sora Fukuda 1520 · Yusuke Takahashi 1481
| Sora Fukuda | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sora Fukuda | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.3 | 11.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sora Fukuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/05 | Evan Zhu M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/05 | Koki Matsuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Yuta Tomida M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 27/05 | Saki Tange M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 28/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/05 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sora Fukuda vs Yusuke Takahashi?
Our model gives 51% to Yusuke Takahashi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.