Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 06/07, 11:30
Prediction: Artem Alekseychuk vs Noah Regas
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Artem Alekseychuk; the market gives 54% to Artem Alekseychuk (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Artem Alekseychuk is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Noah Regas 4-6 over theirs.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Artem Alekseychuk 1485 · Noah Regas 1445
| Artem Alekseychuk | Noah Regas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Artem Alekseychuk (rating 1485 vs 1445).
Statistics
| Artem Alekseychuk | Noah Regas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.3 | 8.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Artem Alekseychuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Yeongseok Jeong M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Koki Matsuda M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Hanlei Lu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Ramazan Kaan Oktay M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Tarun Karra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Ye Hongyu M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Kivanc Bedir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Noah Regas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Xavi Matas Ortega M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 01/04 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/03 | Lucca Helguera Casado M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 11/02 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 03/02 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M15 Javea |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Artem Alekseychuk vs Noah Regas?
Our model gives 55% to Artem Alekseychuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.