Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: John Echeverria vs Dan Added
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Dan Added; the market gives 61% to Dan Added (odds 1.53).
On recent form, John Echeverria is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Dan Added 7-3 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Echeverria 1506 · Dan Added 1548
| John Echeverria | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dan Added (rating 1506 vs 1548).
Statistics
| John Echeverria | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.2 | 12.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Echeverria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Vasco L Prata M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Pablo Hermoso M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Vadym Ursu M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Echeverria vs Dan Added?
Our model gives 59% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.