Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Carl Emil Overbeck
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 74% to Carl Emil Overbeck; the market gives 88% to Carl Emil Overbeck (odds 1.06).
Over their last 10 matches, Oskar Brostrom Poulsen sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Carl Emil Overbeck arrives on a 9-1 run.
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Carl Emil Overbeck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carl Emil Overbeck (rating 1440 vs 1624).
- Carl Emil Overbeck is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 0–1 Carl Emil Overbeck (1).
Statistics
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Carl Emil Overbeck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 2-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12.3 | 13.3-7.2 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 26.9% | 50.1% |
H2H · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 0 – 1 Carl Emil Overbeck (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 0–1 Carl Emil Overbeck
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 M25 Figueira da Foz | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Nikola Slavic M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Carl Emil Overbeck
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mae Malige M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Carl Emil Overbeck?
Our model gives 82% to Carl Emil Overbeck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.