Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Federico Coria vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Federico Coria; the market gives 58% to Federico Coria (odds 1.61).

Recent form leaves Federico Coria with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Geoffrey Blancaneaux has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

55%1
55% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Coria 1474 · Geoffrey Blancaneaux 1460
Federico CoriaGeoffrey Blancaneaux
Our model52%48%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Federico Coria 1–0 Geoffrey Blancaneaux (1).

Statistics

Federico CoriaGeoffrey Blancaneaux
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41-1.3
Games (G-P)10.4-12.39.7-11.4
Aces4.52.6
Double faults1.92.9
1st serve %61.3%65.6%
Break %39.9%39.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

H2H · Federico Coria 10 Geoffrey Blancaneaux (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Coria 10 Geoffrey Blancaneaux

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/07/22
Challenger Braunschweig
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Coria

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
22/06 Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
16/06 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
11/06 Andrea Collarini
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
10/06 Segundo Goity Zapico
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-1 19-18 W
18/05 Vilius Gaubas
French Open · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/04 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/04 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
10/02 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
07/08 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
23/06 Tomasz Berkieta
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Challenger Royan · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
07/06 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/05 Corentin Denolly
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/05 Alec Deckers
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
21/05 Pierre Delage
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
20/05 Niklas Guttau
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/05 Raphael Collignon
Challenger Bordeaux · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
12/05 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Bordeaux · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Coria vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux?

Our model gives 55% to Federico Coria, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.