Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Trotter
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Quinn Vandecasteele; the market gives 50% to Quinn Vandecasteele (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Quinn Vandecasteele sits at 4-6 (W-L), while James Trotter arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Quinn Vandecasteele | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: James Trotter makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-9.6 | 12.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 37.2% |
H2H · Quinn Vandecasteele 1 – 1 James Trotter (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quinn Vandecasteele 1–1 James Trotter
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/25 Challenger Winston-Salem | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07/24 Challenger Winnipeg | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Tristan McCormick M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
James Trotter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ronit Karki Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Karl Poling M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Adam Walton Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/04 | Jake Delaney Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/04 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/04 | Suk Ann Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Dan Added Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Trotter?
Our model gives 50% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.