Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00
Prediction: Borna Gojo vs Gustavo Heide
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Gustavo Heide; the market gives 61% to Gustavo Heide (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Borna Gojo with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Gustavo Heide has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Borna Gojo 1526 · Gustavo Heide 1601
| Borna Gojo | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1526 vs 1601).
- Borna Gojo dominates on serve: 19.8 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Note: Borna Gojo makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Borna Gojo | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 12-9.7 |
| Aces | 19.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 75% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Borna Gojo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Coleman Wong Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Jurij Rodionov French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Henrique Rocha French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/05 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Morelia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/03 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Morelia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/03 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Morelia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Morelia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Borna Gojo vs Gustavo Heide?
Our model gives 61% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.