Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 07/07, 17:00
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Pedro Sakamoto
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Pedro Sakamoto; the market gives 63% to Pedro Sakamoto (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Tristan McCormick is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Pedro Sakamoto 5-5 over theirs.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1470 · Pedro Sakamoto 1474
| Tristan McCormick | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 11.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 36% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Alexis Gurmendi M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/02 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Metepec · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/02 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/02 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/01 | Adam Lynch M15 Naples · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/01 | Alexander Kotzen M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Tanguy Genier M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Andrin Casanova M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Mikalai Haliak M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Kai Wehnelt M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/05 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 57% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.