Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 15:30
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Joy De Zeeuw
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Alena Kovackova; the market gives 87% to Alena Kovackova (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Alena Kovackova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Joy De Zeeuw 4-6 over theirs.
77%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1540 · Joy De Zeeuw 1424
| Alena Kovackova | Joy De Zeeuw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1540 vs 1424).
- Alena Kovackova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Joy De Zeeuw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.4 | 8.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 01/06 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Joy De Zeeuw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Clara Vlasselaer ITF W35 Reims · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Julia Victoria Rennert ITF W15 Haren · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Josy Daems ITF W50 Oldenzaal · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Vivien Sandberg ITF W50 Oldenzaal · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Britt Du Pree ITF W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Maria Pia Orga Nebra ITF W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Gina Marie Dittmann ITF W100 Gran Canaria · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Joy De Zeeuw?
Our model gives 77% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.