Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 12:30
Prediction: Ipek Oz vs Sarah Iliev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Ipek Oz; the market gives 77% to Ipek Oz (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Ipek Oz is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sarah Iliev 5-5 over theirs.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ipek Oz 1568 · Sarah Iliev 1491
| Ipek Oz | Sarah Iliev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ipek Oz (rating 1568 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Ipek Oz | Sarah Iliev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.9-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.9 | 9.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ipek Oz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Vivian Wolff W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 19/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Diana Martynov W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Hanna Bougouffa W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Chloe Cirotte W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Gina Marie Dittmann W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Sarah Iliev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Elina Nepliy W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Natalia Klys W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Valentina Steiner W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Liv Boulard W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Stefanie Auer W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ipek Oz vs Sarah Iliev?
Our model gives 70% to Ipek Oz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.