Tennis · Challenger Newport · 05/07, 18:00
Prediction: Samir Banerjee vs Alex Martinez
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Alex Martinez; the market gives 63% to Samir Banerjee (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Samir Banerjee sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Alex Martinez arrives on a 6-4 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samir Banerjee 1471 · Alex Martinez 1531
| Samir Banerjee | Alex Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Martinez (rating 1471 vs 1531).
- Note: Samir Banerjee makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Samir Banerjee | Alex Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.4 | 10.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samir Banerjee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Christian Langmo Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/10 | Keegan Rice Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Rinky Hijikata Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Patrick Kypson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/10 | Tyler Zink Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Alex Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Daniel Cukierman Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Niklas Waldner Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/04 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samir Banerjee vs Alex Martinez?
Our model gives 53% to Samir Banerjee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.