Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 05/07, 14:00
Prediction: Brea/Triay vs Icardo/Jensen
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Brea/Triay; the market gives 83% to Brea/Triay (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Brea/Triay sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Icardo/Jensen arrives on a 8-2 run.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brea/Triay 1620 · Icardo/Jensen 1539
| Brea/Triay | Icardo/Jensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brea/Triay (rating 1620 vs 1539).
- Head-to-head: Brea/Triay 9–0 Icardo/Jensen (9).
Statistics
| Brea/Triay | Icardo/Jensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.1 | 10.9-7.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 62.5% | 60% |
H2H · Brea/Triay 9 – 0 Icardo/Jensen (9)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brea/Triay 9–0 Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Premier Padel Rome Women | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/04/26 Premier Padel Brussels Women | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/03/26 Premier Padel Miami Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/03/26 Premier Padel Gijon Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06/25 Premier Padel Rome Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05/25 Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/03/25 Premier Padel Santiago Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/03/25 Premier Padel Miami Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brea/Triay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Barrera/Fassio Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Las Heras/Mesa Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Iglesias/Osoro Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sainz/Montes Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Valenzuela/Dominguez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Sharifova/Collombon Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brea/Triay vs Icardo/Jensen?
Our model gives 73% to Brea/Triay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.