Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 05/07, 16:00
Prediction: Nicholas Mekhael vs Junior T Pichardo
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Junior T Pichardo; the market gives 81% to Junior T Pichardo (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Nicholas Mekhael sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Junior T Pichardo arrives on a 7-3 run.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicholas Mekhael 1532 · Junior T Pichardo 1542
| Nicholas Mekhael | Junior T Pichardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicholas Mekhael | Junior T Pichardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.4 | 10.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicholas Mekhael
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Tristan Ryerson UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Lachlan Gaskell UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alexander Suhanitski UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Drew Van Orderlain UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/04 | Achyuth Binu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/04 | Gian Durrer UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/04 | Harrison Satara UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Junior T Pichardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Junghee You UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Sebastian Sec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Matthew Dubas UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Jordan Reznik UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Daniil Berezin UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/03 | Riccardo Trione UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicholas Mekhael vs Junior T Pichardo?
Our model gives 68% to Junior T Pichardo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.