Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Brea/Triay vs Ustero/Sanchez
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Brea/Triay; the market gives 66% to Brea/Triay (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Brea/Triay with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Ustero/Sanchez has piled up 9-1 in the same span.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brea/Triay 1606 · Ustero/Sanchez 1607
| Brea/Triay | Ustero/Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Brea/Triay | Ustero/Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.1 | 12.4-8.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 56.5% |
H2H · Brea/Triay 3 – 3 Ustero/Sanchez (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brea/Triay 3–3 Ustero/Sanchez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Premier Padel Valladolid Women | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06/26 Premier Padel Valencia Women | 1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 07/06/26 Premier Padel Rome Women | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/05/26 Premier Padel Asuncion Women | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/03/26 Premier Padel Gijon Women | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/02/26 Premier Padel Riyadh Women | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brea/Triay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Barrera/Fassio Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Las Heras/Mesa Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ustero/Sanchez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Salazar/Alonso Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Orsi/Llaguno Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brea/Triay vs Ustero/Sanchez?
Our model gives 59% to Brea/Triay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.