Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Stupaczuk/Yanguas vs Galan/Chingotto
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Galan/Chingotto; the market gives 81% to Galan/Chingotto (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Stupaczuk/Yanguas is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Galan/Chingotto 8-2 over theirs.
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stupaczuk/Yanguas 1535 · Galan/Chingotto 1608
| Stupaczuk/Yanguas | Galan/Chingotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Galan/Chingotto (rating 1535 vs 1608).
- Head-to-head: Stupaczuk/Yanguas 2–4 Galan/Chingotto (6).
Statistics
| Stupaczuk/Yanguas | Galan/Chingotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.9 | 12.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 60.2% |
H2H · Stupaczuk/Yanguas 2 – 4 Galan/Chingotto (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stupaczuk/Yanguas 2–4 Galan/Chingotto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Premier Padel Giza | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03/26 Premier Padel Miami | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/12/24 Premier Padel Mexico | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/11/24 Premier Padel Kuwait City | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/11/24 Premier Padel Dubai | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09/24 Premier Padel Rotterdam | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stupaczuk/Yanguas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Tello/Arce Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Chozas/Libaak Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Leal/Guerrero Premier Padel Valladolid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Gil/Castano Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valencia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Di Nenno/Navarro Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Jimenez/Garcia Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Lara/Patiniotis Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Gonzalez Luque/Campagnolo Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Castano/Morales Premier Padel Rome |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Galan/Chingotto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sanz/Nieto Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Sanz/Nieto Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Jensen/Gala Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valladolid |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Leal/Guerrero Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Di Nenno/Navarro Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Quesada/Martinez Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valencia |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Augsburger/Lebron Premier Padel Valencia |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Tello/Arce Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stupaczuk/Yanguas vs Galan/Chingotto?
Our model gives 72% to Galan/Chingotto.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.