Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Icardo/Jensen vs Gonzalez/Josemaria
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Gonzalez/Josemaria; the market gives 79% to Gonzalez/Josemaria (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Icardo/Jensen with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Gonzalez/Josemaria has piled up 9-1 in the same span.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Icardo/Jensen 1565 · Gonzalez/Josemaria 1586
| Icardo/Jensen | Gonzalez/Josemaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Icardo/Jensen | Gonzalez/Josemaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.4 | 13.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 62.7% | 60% |
H2H · Icardo/Jensen 1 – 1 Gonzalez/Josemaria (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Icardo/Jensen 1–1 Gonzalez/Josemaria
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Premier Padel Valladolid Women | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/02/26 Premier Padel Riyadh Women | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Iglesias/Osoro Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sainz/Montes Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Valenzuela/Dominguez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Sharifova/Collombon Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Gonzalez/Josemaria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Canovas/Rodriguez Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Sharifova/Collombon Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Icardo/Jensen Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Iglesias/Osoro Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Calvo/Ortega Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Barrera/Velasco Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Calvo/Ortega Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Icardo/Jensen vs Gonzalez/Josemaria?
Our model gives 68% to Gonzalez/Josemaria.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.