Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 04/07, 03:10
Prediction: Finn Willman vs Christopher Rodi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Christopher Rodi; the market gives 59% to Christopher Rodi (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Finn Willman is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Christopher Rodi 5-5 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Willman 1429 · Christopher Rodi 1497
| Finn Willman | Christopher Rodi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christopher Rodi (rating 1429 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Finn Willman | Christopher Rodi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-10.8 | 10.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Willman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Christian Langmo ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Cody Atkinson ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/12 | Kosuke Shibano ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Michael Kaplan UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Victor Castro UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Rohan Hazratwala UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Christopher Rodi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Kyle Chesman UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Rin Kojima UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Luke Mcmillan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/05 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Willman vs Christopher Rodi?
Our model gives 59% to Christopher Rodi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.