Tennis · M15 San Diego · 03/07, 21:00

Prediction: Bryce Nakashima vs Vignesh Gogineni

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Bryce Nakashima; the market gives 49% to Bryce Nakashima (odds 1.91).

Over their last 10 matches, Bryce Nakashima sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Vignesh Gogineni arrives on a 6-4 run.

51%1
51% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bryce Nakashima 1589 · Vignesh Gogineni 1558
Bryce NakashimaVignesh Gogineni
Our model54%46%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Bryce Nakashima dominates on serve: 6 aces and 46.9% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Bryce Nakashima 1–0 Vignesh Gogineni (1).

Statistics

Bryce NakashimaVignesh Gogineni
Win %80%70%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.5-0.8
Games (G-P)12.2-7.911.6-9.3
Aces61.1
Double faults2.11.4
1st serve %80.1%65.5%
Break %46.9%32.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Bryce Nakashima 10 Vignesh Gogineni (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bryce Nakashima 10 Vignesh Gogineni

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/06/26
M15 Irvine
2-117-14W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bryce Nakashima

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Maxwell Exsted
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Nav Dayal
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/06 Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
25/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Henry Wilson
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
20/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
20/06 Ronit Karki
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Vignesh Gogineni
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
18/06 Billy Suarez
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Vignesh Gogineni

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Stian Klaassen
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
01/07 William Zhang
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Alexander Rozin
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Alex Kobelt
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/06 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
17/06 Kaylan Bigun
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
09/06 Lucca Liu
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 5-13 L
21/12 Matija Pecotic
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/12 Hod'abalo Isak Padio
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bryce Nakashima vs Vignesh Gogineni?

Our model gives 51% to Bryce Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.