Prediction: Giovanni Oradini vs Lorenzo Angelini
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Lorenzo Angelini; the market gives 58% to Giovanni Oradini (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Giovanni Oradini sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Lorenzo Angelini arrives on a 5-5 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Oradini 1538 · Lorenzo Angelini 1557
| Giovanni Oradini | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giovanni Oradini | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.6 | 10.7-7.8 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Oradini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Paris Pouatcha M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Best M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Louis Dussin Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Oradini vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 53% to Giovanni Oradini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.