Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 03/07, 12:00
Prediction: Fernandez/Araujo vs Icardo/Jensen
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Icardo/Jensen; the market gives 63% to Fernandez/Araujo (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Fernandez/Araujo with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Icardo/Jensen has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fernandez/Araujo 1535 · Icardo/Jensen 1545
| Fernandez/Araujo | Icardo/Jensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Fernandez/Araujo 2–1 Icardo/Jensen (3).
Statistics
| Fernandez/Araujo | Icardo/Jensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.5 | 10.5-7.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 47.5% |
H2H · Fernandez/Araujo 2 – 1 Icardo/Jensen (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fernandez/Araujo 2–1 Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Premier Padel Valencia Women | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/05/26 Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/03/26 Premier Padel Gijon Women | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fernandez/Araujo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Castello/Talavan Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Calvo/Ortega Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Icardo/Jensen Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Martinez/Lujan Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/05 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/05 | Icardo/Jensen Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Iglesias/Osoro Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sainz/Montes Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Valenzuela/Dominguez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Sharifova/Collombon Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fernandez/Araujo vs Icardo/Jensen?
Our model gives 56% to Fernandez/Araujo.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.