Prediction: Pierluigi Basile vs Marco Cecchinato
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Marco Cecchinato; the market gives 61% to Marco Cecchinato (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Pierluigi Basile is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Marco Cecchinato 5-5 over theirs.
| Pierluigi Basile | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pierluigi Basile 1–0 Marco Cecchinato (1).
Statistics
| Pierluigi Basile | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.2 | 12.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 37.9% |
H2H · Pierluigi Basile 1 – 0 Marco Cecchinato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pierluigi Basile 1–0 Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/25 Challenger Perugia | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierluigi Basile
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Alberto Morolli M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierluigi Basile vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 57% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.