Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 03/07, 17:00
Prediction: Brea/Triay vs Virseda/Guinart
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 76% to Brea/Triay; the market gives 88% to Brea/Triay (odds 1.06).
On recent form, Brea/Triay is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Virseda/Guinart 4-6 over theirs.
83%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brea/Triay 1651 · Virseda/Guinart 1451
| Brea/Triay | Virseda/Guinart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brea/Triay (rating 1651 vs 1451).
- Brea/Triay is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Brea/Triay 7–0 Virseda/Guinart (7).
Statistics
| Brea/Triay | Virseda/Guinart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.8 | 10.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 45.7% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 31% |
H2H · Brea/Triay 7 – 0 Virseda/Guinart (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brea/Triay 7–0 Virseda/Guinart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Premier Padel Valencia Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/04/26 Premier Padel Giza Women | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/03/26 Premier Padel Cancun Women | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/12/25 Premier Padel Barcelona Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/11/25 Premier Padel Dubai Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10/25 Premier Padel Rotterdam Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09/25 Premier Padel Dusseldorf Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brea/Triay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Barrera/Fassio Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Las Heras/Mesa Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Icardo/Jensen Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Virseda/Guinart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Bidahorria/Caparros Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Riera/Navarro Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 17-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Bidahorria/Caparros Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Asuncion Women · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Martinez/Arruabarrena Premier Padel Asuncion Women · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/04 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Brussels Women · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Giza Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brea/Triay vs Virseda/Guinart?
Our model gives 83% to Brea/Triay, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.