Prediction: Salazar/Alonso vs Ustero/Sanchez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Ustero/Sanchez; the market gives 83% to Ustero/Sanchez (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Salazar/Alonso is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ustero/Sanchez 8-2 over theirs.
| Salazar/Alonso | Ustero/Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ustero/Sanchez (rating 1493 vs 1633).
- Ustero/Sanchez is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Salazar/Alonso 0–1 Ustero/Sanchez (1).
Statistics
| Salazar/Alonso | Ustero/Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.8 | 11.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 50.4% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 54.6% |
H2H · Salazar/Alonso 0 – 1 Ustero/Sanchez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salazar/Alonso 0–1 Ustero/Sanchez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 Premier Padel Riyadh Women | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salazar/Alonso
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Rufo/Saiz Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Bidahorria/Caparros Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Barrera/Fassio Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/05 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Iglesias/Osoro Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 13/05 | Nogueira/Lujan Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/05 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Asuncion Women · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Martinez Gomez/Perez Premier Padel Asuncion Women · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ustero/Sanchez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Orsi/Llaguno Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salazar/Alonso vs Ustero/Sanchez?
Our model gives 77% to Ustero/Sanchez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.