Tennis · M15 Monastir · 03/07, 10:30
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Toufik Sahtali
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Toufik Sahtali; the market gives 58% to Tuncay Duran (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Tuncay Duran is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Toufik Sahtali 7-3 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1565 · Toufik Sahtali 1578
| Tuncay Duran | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.7 | 12.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Kris Van Wyk Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Edison Ambarzumjan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Giulio Perego M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 01/05 | Jordan Hasson M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Toufik Sahtali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Daniel Domingos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Ntungamili Raguin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abraham Asaba Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Kael Shalin Shah Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Clement Lemire M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Diogo Marques M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Toufik Sahtali?
Our model gives 53% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.