Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux · 03/07, 13:30
Prediction: Stupaczuk/Yanguas vs Tello/Arce
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Stupaczuk/Yanguas; the market gives 77% to Stupaczuk/Yanguas (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Stupaczuk/Yanguas sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Tello/Arce arrives on a 6-4 run.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stupaczuk/Yanguas 1532 · Tello/Arce 1532
| Stupaczuk/Yanguas | Tello/Arce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Stupaczuk/Yanguas | Tello/Arce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.3 | 13.3-13.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 51.5% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 28% |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stupaczuk/Yanguas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Chozas/Libaak Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Leal/Guerrero Premier Padel Valladolid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Gil/Castano Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valencia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Di Nenno/Navarro Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Jimenez/Garcia Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Lara/Patiniotis Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Gonzalez Luque/Campagnolo Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Castano/Morales Premier Padel Rome |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 17/05 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Tello/Arce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Leal/Guerrero Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Belluati/Sager Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Galan/Chingotto Premier Padel Valencia |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Bergamini/Garrido Premier Padel Valencia |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 10/06 | Rodriguez/De Pascual Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Sanz/Nieto Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Sanz/Nieto Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Cabeza/Gonzalez Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 08/05 | Galan/Chingotto Premier Padel Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Lijo/Garcia Rodrigo Premier Padel Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stupaczuk/Yanguas vs Tello/Arce?
Our model gives 65% to Stupaczuk/Yanguas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.