Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 03/07, 10:00
Prediction: Canovas/Rodriguez vs Gonzalez/Josemaria
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Gonzalez/Josemaria; the market gives 92% to Gonzalez/Josemaria (odds 1.02).
Recent form leaves Canovas/Rodriguez with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Gonzalez/Josemaria has piled up 9-1 in the same span.
81%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canovas/Rodriguez 1486 · Gonzalez/Josemaria 1622
| Canovas/Rodriguez | Gonzalez/Josemaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalez/Josemaria (rating 1486 vs 1622).
- Gonzalez/Josemaria is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Canovas/Rodriguez 0–1 Gonzalez/Josemaria (1).
Statistics
| Canovas/Rodriguez | Gonzalez/Josemaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.1 | 13.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 60% |
H2H · Canovas/Rodriguez 0 – 1 Gonzalez/Josemaria (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canovas/Rodriguez 0–1 Gonzalez/Josemaria
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Premier Padel Riyadh Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canovas/Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Calvo/Ortega Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Peralta/Ferreyra Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Barrera/Velasco Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Gomez/Arellano Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/03 | Bidahorria/Caparros Premier Padel Miami Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/03 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Cancun Women |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/03 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Gijon Women |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/02 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Riyadh Women |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Gonzalez/Josemaria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sharifova/Collombon Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Icardo/Jensen Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Iglesias/Osoro Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Calvo/Ortega Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Barrera/Velasco Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Calvo/Ortega Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Barrera/Fassio Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canovas/Rodriguez vs Gonzalez/Josemaria?
Our model gives 81% to Gonzalez/Josemaria.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.