Football · Chile Ascenso Women · 12/07, 18:00

Prediction: Audax Italiano (W) vs Cobresal (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
Audax Italiano (W)0.97
Cobresal (W)2.91
1X2
10% 14% 77%
Audax Italiano (W) Draw Cobresal (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Audax Italiano (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLLWLL
Cobresal (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Audax Italiano (W) 2–1–3 Cobresal (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Audax Italiano (W) 1418 · Cobresal (W) 1572
Audax Italiano (W)DrawCobresal (W)
Our model9%15%76%
Market10%13%77%
Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobresal (W) (rating 1418 vs 1572).
  • H2H favours Cobresal (W): 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Audax Italiano (W)Cobresal (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 2.82.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.81.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.62.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano (W) 213 Cobresal (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
Chile Ascenso Women
Audax Italiano (W)0-7
HT 0-6
Cobresal (W)
12/04/26
Chile Ascenso Women
Cobresal (W)3-1
HT 3-1
Audax Italiano (W)
30/06/24
Chile Primera Division Women
Audax Italiano (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Cobresal (W)
17/03/24
Chile Primera Division Women
Cobresal (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Audax Italiano (W)
20/08/23
Chile Primera Division Women
Cobresal (W)1-2
HT 0-0
Audax Italiano (W)
10/07/21
Chile Primera Division Women
Cobresal (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Audax Italiano (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAudax Italiano (W)Cobresal (W)
San Luis Quillota (W) 0-4 L 2-0 W
Everton de Vina (W) 0-3 L 0-2 L
Union La Calera (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
Deportes Limache (W) 0-1 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cobresal (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Audax Italiano (W)

LDLLWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 San Luis Quillota (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-2 0-4 35 L
28/06 Everton de Vina (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-1 0-3 04 L
14/06 Union La Calera (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
1-0 1-0 03 W
24/05 Cobresal (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-6 0-7 13 L
10/05 Everton de Vina (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-4 0-5 04 L
19/04 Union San Felipe (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
2-0 2-0 63 W
12/04 Cobresal (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
1-3 1-3 40 L
03/04 Deportes Limache (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-1 0-1 44 L
22/03 San Luis Quillota (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-0 2-2 42 D
12/09 Deportes Recoleta (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
1-1 1-3 45 L

Cobresal (W)

WDDWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Deportes Limache (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
3-0 4-1 31 W
20/06 San Luis Quillota (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
1-0 2-0 35 W
30/05 Deportes Limache (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
1-0 4-0 52 W
24/05 Audax Italiano (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
6-0 7-0 53 W
16/05 San Luis Quillota (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
2-1 5-1 51 W
25/04 Everton de Vina (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-1 0-2 55 L
12/04 Audax Italiano (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
3-1 3-1 100 W
02/04 San Luis Quillota (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-0 0-0 62 D
28/03 Union La Calera (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
1-0 1-1 77 D
24/08 Deportes Concepcion (W)
Chile Ascenso Women
0-0 2-0 26 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Audax Italiano (W) vs Cobresal (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cobresal (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Audax Italiano (W) 10%, draw 14%, Cobresal (W) 77%.

How many goals are expected in Audax Italiano (W) vs Cobresal (W)?

The model expects 3.88 goals (Audax Italiano (W) 0.97 · Cobresal (W) 2.91), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Audax Italiano (W) vs Cobresal (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.