Football · Bhutan Premier League · 13/07, 14:00

Prediction: Ugyen Academy vs Transport United FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Ugyen Academy0.97
Transport United FC2.97
1X2
9% 13% 78%
Ugyen Academy Draw Transport United FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Ugyen Academy 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWLLLL
Transport United FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWLLWW
Head-to-head
Ugyen Academy 1–2–3 Transport United FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ugyen Academy 1464 · Transport United FC 1485
Ugyen AcademyDrawTransport United FC
Our model9%14%77%
Market9%12%79%
Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Transport United FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ugyen AcademyTransport United FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 3.11.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.60.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.32.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.13.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugyen Academy 123 Transport United FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/10/25
Bhutan Premier League
Transport United FC1-4
HT 1-2
Ugyen Academy
18/06/25
Bhutan Premier League
Ugyen Academy2-3
HT 2-2
Transport United FC
21/07/23
Bhutan Premier League
Transport United FC7-1
HT 2-1
Ugyen Academy
08/11/22
Bhutan Premier League
Ugyen Academy1-1
HT 0-1
Transport United FC
19/08/22
Bhutan Premier League
Transport United FC2-2
HT 1-0
Ugyen Academy
08/08/21
Bhutan Premier League
Ugyen Academy0-1
HT 0-0
Transport United FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUgyen AcademyTransport United FC
RTC FC 0-1 L 1-0 W
Thimphu City 1-7 L 0-3 L
Paro FC 0-11 L 2-3 L
Tensung FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
BFF Academy U19 1-3 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Transport United FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ugyen Academy

LWWWLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 RTC FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-0 0-1 03 L
27/06 Thimphu City
Bhutan Premier League
1-4 1-7 41 L
23/06 Paro FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-5 0-11 14 L
16/06 Thimphu City
Bhutan Premier League
2-4 L
29/05 Tensung FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-0 1-0 64 W
05/05 BFF Academy U19
Bhutan Premier League
0-2 1-3 43 L
22/10 Transport United FC
Bhutan Premier League
2-1 4-1 32 W
14/10 BFF Academy U19
Bhutan Premier League
3-0 3-0 62 W
06/10 Southern City
Bhutan Premier League
1-1 3-2 31 W
21/09 RTC FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-1 1-2 33 L

Transport United FC

WLDLLWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Drukpa FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-0 2-1 62 W
26/06 RTC FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-0 1-0 44 W
14/06 Thimphu City
Bhutan Premier League
0-1 0-3 53 L
28/05 Paro FC
Bhutan Premier League
1-2 2-3 41 L
20/05 Thimphu City
Bhutan Premier League
1-0 1-0 12 W
13/05 Tensung FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-1 0-1 83 L
22/10 Ugyen Academy
Bhutan Premier League
1-2 1-4 22 L
19/10 RTC FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-0 1-1 511 D
24/09 Paro FC
Bhutan Premier League
0-1 1-2 32 L
12/09 BFF Academy U19
Bhutan Premier League
0-1 3-1 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ugyen Academy vs Transport United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Transport United FC win (78%). Probabilities: Ugyen Academy 9%, draw 13%, Transport United FC 78%.

How many goals are expected in Ugyen Academy vs Transport United FC?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Ugyen Academy 0.97 · Transport United FC 2.97), with a 56% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ugyen Academy vs Transport United FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.