Football · Brazil Paulista Serie B · 11/07, 20:00
Prediction: Matonense U23 vs Flamengo SP U23
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Matonense U231.19
Flamengo SP U231.1
1X2
Matonense U23
Draw
Flamengo SP U23
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Matonense U23
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Flamengo SP U23
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matonense U23 1577 · Flamengo SP U23 1565
| Matonense U23 | Draw | Flamengo SP U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Matonense U23 | Flamengo SP U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.7 | 5.8 / 0.6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matonense U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Assisense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Assisense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Mogi Mirim U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Gremio Catanduvense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
8-0 | 13-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Sao Carlos U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Santacruzense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Independente SP U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Mogi Mirim U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | Gremio Catanduvense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Sao Carlos U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
Flamengo SP U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | GO Audax U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | GO Audax U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | GO Audax U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Paulinia Universitario U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | SC Paulinense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Guarulhos U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Votoraty U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | GO Audax U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Paulinia Universitario U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 02/05 | SC Paulinense U23 Brazil Paulista Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matonense U23 vs Flamengo SP U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Matonense U23 win (37%). Probabilities: Matonense U23 37%, draw 30%, Flamengo SP U23 33%.
How many goals are expected in Matonense U23 vs Flamengo SP U23?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Matonense U23 1.19 · Flamengo SP U23 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Matonense U23 vs Flamengo SP U23?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.