Football · Fiji National League · 12/07, 05:30

Prediction: Suva FC vs BA FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Suva FC1.32
BA FC2.31
1X2
20% 21% 58%
Suva FC Draw BA FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Suva FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWWLLLDDDL
BA FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWDLWLWLW
Head-to-head
Suva FC 1–2–3 BA FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suva FC 1469 · BA FC 1547
Suva FCDrawBA FC
Our model20%21%59%
Market20%22%58%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BA FC (rating 1469 vs 1547).
  • H2H favours BA FC: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Suva FCBA FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.43.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.61.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.76.3 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.32.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Suva FC 123 BA FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Fiji National League
BA FC2-1
HT 1-0
Suva FC
23/02/25
Fiji National League
Suva FC1-1
HT 1-1
BA FC
27/07/24
World Club Friendlies
BA FC0-0
HT 0-0
Suva FC
16/06/24
Fiji National League
Suva FC0-1
HT 0-0
BA FC
12/08/23
World Club Friendlies
Suva FC3-0
HT 3-0
BA FC
10/06/23
Fiji Cup
Suva FC1-2
HT 1-0
BA FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSuva FCBA FC
Navua FC 0-2 L 2-0 W
Rewa FC 1-1 D 2-3 L
Labasa FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Lautoka FC 1-1 D 0-2 L
Nadroga FC 1-4 L 4-1 W
Nasinu FC 1-3 L 6-0 W
Tailevu Naitasiri 8-0 W 9-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BA FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suva FC

DWWLLLDDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Navua FC
Fiji Cup
0-1 0-2 36 L
20/06 Rewa FC
Fiji Cup
1-0 1-1 15 D
19/06 Labasa FC
Fiji Cup
1-0 1-1 46 D
29/05 Lautoka FC
Fiji National League
1-0 1-1 310 D
22/05 Nadi FC
Fiji National League
0-2 1-2 00 L
17/05 Nadroga FC
Fiji National League
1-2 1-4 30 L
10/05 Nasinu FC
Fiji National League
0-1 1-3 L
06/05 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
0-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 Tailevu Naitasiri
Fiji National League
5-0 8-0 84 W
19/04 Labasa FC
Fiji National League
0-0 0-0 65 D

BA FC

WWWDLWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Nasinu FC
Fiji Cup
3-0 6-0 220 W
20/06 Lautoka FC
Fiji Cup
0-2 0-2 44 L
19/06 Nadroga FC
Fiji Cup
0-0 4-1 55 W
17/05 Rewa FC
Fiji National League
1-1 2-3 61 L
10/05 Tailevu Naitasiri
Fiji National League
4-0 9-0 74 W
03/05 Labasa FC
Fiji National League
0-1 1-2 L
26/04 Lautoka FC
Fiji National League
1-0 1-1 D
19/04 Navua FC
Fiji National League
0-0 2-0 W
22/03 Nasinu FC
Fiji National League
2-0 4-0 W
15/03 Suva FC
Fiji National League
1-0 2-1 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suva FC vs BA FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BA FC win (58%). Probabilities: Suva FC 20%, draw 21%, BA FC 58%.

How many goals are expected in Suva FC vs BA FC?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Suva FC 1.32 · BA FC 2.31), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Suva FC vs BA FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.