Prediction: Benfica Macau vs Shao Jiang SA
| Benfica Macau | Draw | Shao Jiang SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 11% | 14% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shao Jiang SA (rating 1500 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Shao Jiang SA: 5-0-0.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Benfica Macau | Shao Jiang SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 4.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 2.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 4.9 / 9.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benfica Macau 0–0–5 Shao Jiang SA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Macau FA Cup | Shao Jiang SA | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Benfica Macau |
| 11/04/26 Macau 1st Division | Shao Jiang SA | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Benfica Macau |
| 26/07/25 Macau 1st Division | Shao Jiang SA | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Benfica Macau |
| 22/06/25 Macau 1st Division | Benfica Macau | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shao Jiang SA |
| 07/03/25 Macau 1st Division | Shao Jiang SA | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Benfica Macau |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Benfica Macau | Shao Jiang SA |
|---|---|---|
| MUST IPO | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Macau Chiba FC | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Gala | 0-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Cheng Fung | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Artilheiros | 4-0 W | 14-0 W |
| Gorilla Of The Universe SC | 4-4 D | 11-0 W |
| Hang Sai | 4-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Shao Jiang SA (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benfica Macau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Shao Jiang SA Macau FA Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Artilheiros Macau FA Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 24/04 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Shao Jiang SA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
7-0 | 14-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Benfica Macau Macau FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
6-0 | 11-0 | 17 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-2 | 3-3 | 18 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | MUST IPO Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Cheng Fung Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benfica Macau vs Shao Jiang SA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shao Jiang SA win (75%). Probabilities: Benfica Macau 11%, draw 14%, Shao Jiang SA 75%.
How many goals are expected in Benfica Macau vs Shao Jiang SA?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Benfica Macau 1.23 · Shao Jiang SA 3.2), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Benfica Macau vs Shao Jiang SA?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.