Football · Macau 1st Division · 11/07, 15:00

Prediction: Gala vs Macau Chiba FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.25Total
Gala2.71
Macau Chiba FC1.54
1X2
62% 18% 20%
Gala Draw Macau Chiba FC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gala 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWWWW
Macau Chiba FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWDWWWLD
Head-to-head
Gala 2–1–2 Macau Chiba FC (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gala 1594 · Macau Chiba FC 1539
GalaDrawMacau Chiba FC
Our model62%19%20%
Market62%18%20%
Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gala (rating 1594 vs 1539).
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GalaMacau Chiba FC
Goals for / against (FT)3.6 / 1.52.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.9 / 0.61.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 6.63.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.43.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gala 212 Macau Chiba FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Macau 1st Division
Macau Chiba FC2-4
HT 1-2
Gala
03/08/25
Macau 1st Division
Macau Chiba FC1-0
HT 1-0
Gala
28/06/25
Macau 1st Division
Gala2-0
HT 0-0
Macau Chiba FC
17/05/25
Macau FA Cup
Gala2-4
HT 0-1
Macau Chiba FC
27/03/25
Macau 1st Division
Macau Chiba FC3-3
HT 1-1
Gala

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGalaMacau Chiba FC
Gorilla Of The Universe SC 3-2 W 7-0 W
Cheng Fung 4-1 W 1-1 D
Benfica Macau 5-0 W 1-2 L
Hang Sai 5-0 W 2-1 W
Artilheiros 6-3 W 3-1 W
Macau University 3-0 W 7-1 W
Shao Jiang SA 3-3 D 3-3 D
MUST IPO 1-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gala (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gala

WLDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
2-0 3-2 81 W
27/06 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
1-0 4-1 81 W
19/06 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
3-0 5-0 64 W
13/06 Hang Sai
Macau FA Cup
3-0 5-0 64 W
30/05 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
4-2 6-3 W
09/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 103 W
01/05 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 2-1 52 W
25/04 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
1-2 3-3 61 D
12/04 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
1-1 1-3 36 L
04/04 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
2-1 4-2 75 W

Macau Chiba FC

LLDWDWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
1-1 1-1 52 D
28/06 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
1-0 1-2 04 L
21/06 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
0-0 3-1 W
14/06 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau FA Cup
2-0 7-0 50 W
31/05 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 2-1 86 W
10/05 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
2-0 3-3 23 D
03/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
3-0 7-1 102 W
26/04 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
0-0 0-0 24 D
11/04 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
0-2 1-5 134 L
04/04 Gala
Macau 1st Division
1-2 2-4 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gala vs Macau Chiba FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gala win (62%). Probabilities: Gala 62%, draw 18%, Macau Chiba FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Gala vs Macau Chiba FC?

The model expects 4.25 goals (Gala 2.71 · Macau Chiba FC 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Gala vs Macau Chiba FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.