Prediction: Cheng Fung vs MUST IPO
| Cheng Fung | Draw | MUST IPO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 5% | 9% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MUST IPO (rating 1473 vs 1623).
- H2H favours MUST IPO: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cheng Fung | MUST IPO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.3 | 3.4 / 9.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheng Fung 0–2–4 MUST IPO
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Macau FA Cup | MUST IPO | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Cheng Fung |
| 10/08/25 Macau 1st Division | MUST IPO | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Cheng Fung |
| 29/06/25 Macau 1st Division | Cheng Fung | 1-10 HT 0-5 | MUST IPO |
| 07/03/25 Macau 1st Division | Cheng Fung | 2-2 HT 1-2 | MUST IPO |
| 10/08/24 Macau FA Cup | MUST IPO | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Cheng Fung |
| 02/06/24 Macau 1st Division | MUST IPO | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cheng Fung |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cheng Fung | MUST IPO |
|---|---|---|
| Macau Chiba FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Gala | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Benfica Macau | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Hang Sai | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Artilheiros | 5-0 W | 10-1 W |
| Macau University | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Shao Jiang SA | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: MUST IPO (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cheng Fung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Gorilla Of The Universe SC Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | MUST IPO Macau FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
1-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
MUST IPO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
6-0 | 10-1 | 18 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Hang Sai Macau 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Cheng Fung Macau FA Cup |
1-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Macau University Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Shao Jiang SA Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Macau Chiba FC Macau 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Gala Macau 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Benfica Macau Macau 1st Division |
3-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/03 | Artilheiros Macau 1st Division |
8-0 | 13-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cheng Fung vs MUST IPO?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MUST IPO win (82%). Probabilities: Cheng Fung 7%, draw 11%, MUST IPO 82%.
How many goals are expected in Cheng Fung vs MUST IPO?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Cheng Fung 1.14 · MUST IPO 3.14), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Cheng Fung vs MUST IPO?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.