Football · Argentina Nacional B · 18/07, 22:00
Prediction: Acassuso vs CA San Telmo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Acassuso1.01
CA San Telmo0.91
1X2
Acassuso
Draw
CA San Telmo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Acassuso
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
CA San Telmo
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Acassuso
4–2
CA San Telmo
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Acassuso 1475 · CA San Telmo 1451
| Acassuso | Draw | CA San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Acassuso: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Acassuso | CA San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.1 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Acassuso 4–0–2 CA San Telmo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Acassuso |
| 07/12/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 10/04/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CA San Telmo |
| 27/10/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA San Telmo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Acassuso |
| 18/03/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 30/10/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA San Telmo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 30 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 30 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 13 | All Boys | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 21 |
| 14 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 18 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Acassuso | CA San Telmo |
|---|---|---|
| Racing de Cordoba | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| CA Chaco For Ever | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Central Norte | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Madryn | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Almirante Brown | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Atletico Mitre | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Acassuso (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Acassuso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 14/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
CA San Telmo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Acassuso vs CA San Telmo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Acassuso win (36%). Probabilities: Acassuso 36%, draw 34%, CA San Telmo 31%.
How many goals are expected in Acassuso vs CA San Telmo?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Acassuso 1.01 · CA San Telmo 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Acassuso vs CA San Telmo?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.