Football · Dominica Premier League · 10/07, 01:00

Prediction: Dublanc FC vs Middleham United FC

Expected goals: 4.95 (Dublanc FC 3.47 · Middleham United FC 1.47). The model gives 85% home, 8% draw, 7% away. Under 5.5 goals (57%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 3-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Dublanc FC sits at 10-0-0 (W-D-L), while Middleham United FC arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Dublanc FC and 0 for Middleham United FC, with 1 draw.

85%1
85% 8% 7%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dublanc FC 1660 · Middleham United FC 1432
Dublanc FCDrawMiddleham United FC
Our model74%14%12%
Market94%4%2%
Estimated total (ours) 4.95 goals · Bet365 line 5.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.95Dublanc FC 3.47 · Middleham United FC 1.47
Over / Under 5.5Under 5.5 · 57%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dublanc FC (rating 1660 vs 1432).
  • H2H favours Dublanc FC: 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dublanc FCMiddleham United FC
Goals for / against (FT)5 / 11.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)2.3 / 0.30.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.91 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.22.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dublanc FC 510 Middleham United FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Dominica Premier League
Middleham United FC1-3
HT 1-1
Dublanc FC
18/08/25
Dominica Premier League
Dublanc FC9-2
HT 3-1
Middleham United FC
16/06/25
Dominica Premier League
Middleham United FC2-2
HT 0-1
Dublanc FC
15/07/24
Dominica Premier League
Middleham United FC2-6
HT 0-2
Dublanc FC
22/04/23
Dominica Premier League
Dublanc FC2-1
HT 1-1
Middleham United FC
10/07/21
Dominica Premier League
Dublanc FC3-1
HT 1-1
Middleham United FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDublanc FCMiddleham United FC
Pointe Michel FC 12-3 W 3-4 L
Mahaut Soca Strikers 3-1 W 1-0 W
We United FC 3-1 W 1-2 L
Portsmouth Bombers 4-0 W 1-1 D
Sagicor South East FC 3-2 W 1-4 L
Promex Harlem United SC 5-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dublanc FC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dublanc FC

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
7-0 12-3 42 W
21/06 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 3-1 132 W
14/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 3-1 34 W
08/06 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 3-1 84 W
24/05 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
1-0 3-0 111 W
18/05 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
1-0 4-0 121 W
11/05 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 3-2 35 W
03/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
3-0 5-0 45 W
23/11 We United FC
Dominica President Cup
3-0 4-1 56 W
19/10 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
4-1 10-1 66 W

Middleham United FC

LLLLWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-0 00 W
20/06 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-1 36 D
14/06 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-3 44 L
07/06 Sagicor South East FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 1-4 41 L
03/06 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
1-3 3-4 62 L
30/05 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
2-0 2-1 31 W
27/05 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
0-1 0-3 33 L
13/05 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-2 2-3 33 L
09/05 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
0-2 1-2 77 L
27/08 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-2 0-1 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dublanc FC vs Middleham United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dublanc FC win (85%). Probabilities: Dublanc FC 85%, draw 8%, Middleham United FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Dublanc FC vs Middleham United FC?

The model expects 4.95 goals (Dublanc FC 3.47 · Middleham United FC 1.47), with a 57% chance of under 5.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dublanc FC vs Middleham United FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.