Prediction: FC Miami City vs Lakeland United FC USL 2
Expected goals: 3.49 (FC Miami City 1.63 · Lakeland United FC USL 2 1.86). The model gives 33% home, 24% draw, 43% away. Under 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Miami City sits at 0-3-7 (W-D-L), while Lakeland United FC USL 2 arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Miami City won 1 and Lakeland United FC USL 2 1.
| FC Miami City | Draw | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lakeland United FC USL 2 (rating 1416 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Miami City | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.6 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Miami City 1–0–1 Lakeland United FC USL 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 USA USL League Two | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Miami City |
| 21/05/26 USA USL League Two | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FC Miami City |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Florida Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Miami AC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 4 | Weston FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 5 | Brevard Fire SC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Miami City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Miami City | Lakeland United FC USL 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Miami AC | 0-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Fort Lauderdale Utd | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Weston FC | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Brevard Fire SC | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lakeland United FC USL 2 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Miami City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/06 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
Lakeland United FC USL 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
4-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Miami City vs Lakeland United FC USL 2?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lakeland United FC USL 2 win (43%). Probabilities: FC Miami City 33%, draw 24%, Lakeland United FC USL 2 43%.
How many goals are expected in FC Miami City vs Lakeland United FC USL 2?
The model expects 3.49 goals (FC Miami City 1.63 · Lakeland United FC USL 2 1.86), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Miami City vs Lakeland United FC USL 2?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.