Prediction: Paro FC vs Tensung FC
Expected goals: 4.99 (Paro FC 3.5 · Tensung FC 1.5). The model gives 84% home, 9% draw, 7% away. Under 5.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, Paro FC is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Tensung FC 1-1-8 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 6 wins for Paro FC and 0 for Tensung FC.
| Paro FC | Draw | Tensung FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| Market | 91% | 6% | 3% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paro FC (rating 1559 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Paro FC: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paro FC | Tensung FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.7 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.1 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paro FC 6–0–0 Tensung FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/25 Bhutan Premier League | Tensung FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Paro FC |
| 27/04/25 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Tensung FC |
| 19/08/24 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Tensung FC |
| 04/06/24 Bhutan Premier League | Tensung FC | 0-8 HT 0-2 | Paro FC |
| 16/11/22 Bhutan Premier League | Tensung FC | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Paro FC |
| 21/08/22 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 8-0 HT 4-0 | Tensung FC |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paro FC | Tensung FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ugyen Academy | 11-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Transport United FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| RTC FC | 4-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Thimphu City | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Paro FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paro FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
5-0 | 11-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/10 | FC Abdysh-Ata Kant AFC Challenge League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/10 | Altyn Asyr FK AFC Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 25/10 | Al Shabab Seeb AFC Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/10 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Southern City Bhutan Premier League |
9-0 | 20-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
Tensung FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Drukpa FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/08 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | BFF Academy U19 Bhutan Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paro FC vs Tensung FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paro FC win (84%). Probabilities: Paro FC 84%, draw 9%, Tensung FC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Paro FC vs Tensung FC?
The model expects 4.99 goals (Paro FC 3.5 · Tensung FC 1.5), with a 56% chance of under 5.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Paro FC vs Tensung FC?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.