Prediction: CAAC Brasil vs Uniao Central
Expected goals: 3.45 (CAAC Brasil 1.44 · Uniao Central 2.01). The model gives 26% home, 25% draw, 49% away. Over 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves CAAC Brasil with 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Uniao Central has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, CAAC Brasil won 1 and Uniao Central 2.
| CAAC Brasil | Draw | Uniao Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uniao Central (rating 1435 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Uniao Central: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CAAC Brasil | Uniao Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 2.3 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 6.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CAAC Brasil 1–0–2 Uniao Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca C | Uniao Central | 5-0 HT 0-0 | CAAC Brasil |
| 26/05/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca C | CAAC Brasil | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Uniao Central |
| 22/07/21 Brazil Campeonato Carioca C | Uniao Central | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CAAC Brasil |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CAAC Brasil | Uniao Central |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona RJ | 0-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Vera Cruz RJ | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Campos RJ | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Brescia Clube RJ | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Riostrense RJ | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Buzios | 0-2 L | 7-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Uniao Central (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CAAC Brasil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Barcelona RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vera Cruz RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Itaborai Profute Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/06 | Campos RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Cardoso Moreira RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/05 | Tigres do Brasil Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Brescia Clube RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 03/08 | Angra Dos Reis RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Riostrense RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-4 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Buzios Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Uniao Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Campos RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Vera Cruz RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 31/05 | Brescia Clube RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Barcelona RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
2-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 18/05 | Mageense FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 28/08 | SE Paraty RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | SE Paraty RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 10/08 | Riostrense RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/07 | Buzios Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
3-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/07 | SE Paraty RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca C |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CAAC Brasil vs Uniao Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Uniao Central win (49%). Probabilities: CAAC Brasil 26%, draw 25%, Uniao Central 49%.
How many goals are expected in CAAC Brasil vs Uniao Central?
The model expects 3.45 goals (CAAC Brasil 1.44 · Uniao Central 2.01), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CAAC Brasil vs Uniao Central?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.