Football · Gambia FF Cup · 05/07, 18:30

Prediction: AJ Soccer Academy vs Baalor Sarr FC

Expected goals: 1.98 (AJ Soccer Academy 0.9 · Baalor Sarr FC 1.09). The model gives 29% home, 32% draw, 39% away. Under 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Over its last 10 matches, AJ Soccer Academy sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Baalor Sarr FC arrives on a 3-4-3 run.

39%2
29% 32% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AJ Soccer Academy 1500 · Baalor Sarr FC 1507
AJ Soccer AcademyDrawBaalor Sarr FC
Our model28%34%38%
Market30%30%40%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.98AJ Soccer Academy 0.9 · Baalor Sarr FC 1.09
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 54%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AJ Soccer AcademyBaalor Sarr FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.20.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.82 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13 / 0.1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAJ Soccer AcademyBaalor Sarr FC
Colley Stars 0-0 D 1-2 L
Gambia Armed Force 1-2 L 4-1 W
Unique Global FC 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AJ Soccer Academy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AJ Soccer Academy

DLDWWLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Colley Stars
Gambia Division 2
0-0 0-0 15 D
19/06 Gambia Armed Force
Gambia Division 2
0-1 1-2 64 L
02/06 Steve Biko FC
Gambia FF Cup
1-0 1-0 15 W
10/05 WAA Banjul
Gambia Division 2
0-1 0-2 53 L
10/05 Banjul United
Gambia Division 2
0-1 0-2 53 L
28/04 Unique Global FC
Gambia Division 2
1-0 2-0 24 W
04/04 Sibanor United
Gambia Division 2
1-0 1-0 24 W
28/03 Brikama United
Gambia FF Cup
2-0 2-2 63 D
14/02 RS Tallinding
Gambia Division 2
0-1 0-3 53 L
15/01 Unique Global FC
Gambia Division 2
1-1 1-1 51 D

Baalor Sarr FC

LDDWLWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/06 Gambia Armed Force
Gambia Division 2
2-0 4-1 62 W
24/05 FC Wagadou
Gambia Division 2
0-0 1-2 70 L
20/05 Medina United FC
Gambia FF Cup
0-0 0-0 23 D
29/04 Serrekunda Utd
Gambia Division 2
0-0 0-0 43 D
09/04 Suwo Kono
Gambia Division 2
1-0 1-0 53 W
11/03 North Star Academy FC
Gambia Division 2
0-1 0-1 105 L
08/03 Gambia Armed Force
Gambia Division 2
0-0 1-0 43 W
27/01 Wallidan FC
Gambia Division 2
0-0 0-0 32 D
22/01 Unique Global FC
Gambia Division 2
1-0 1-1 04 D
12/01 Colley Stars
Gambia Division 2
0-1 1-2 76 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AJ Soccer Academy vs Baalor Sarr FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Baalor Sarr FC win (39%). Probabilities: AJ Soccer Academy 29%, draw 32%, Baalor Sarr FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in AJ Soccer Academy vs Baalor Sarr FC?

The model expects 1.98 goals (AJ Soccer Academy 0.9 · Baalor Sarr FC 1.09), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AJ Soccer Academy vs Baalor Sarr FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.