Prediction: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Quito FC (W)
Expected goals: 4.7 (Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 3.35 · Quito FC (W) 1.35). The model gives 86% home, 8% draw, 6% away. Under 4.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Quito FC (W) 1-0-9 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) won 2 and Quito FC (W) 0, with 1 draw.
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | Draw | Quito FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 95% | 4% | 1% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) (rating 1588 vs 1387).
- H2H favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W): 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | Quito FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 4.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.8 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 2–1–0 Quito FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Ecuador Primera Women | Quito FC (W) | 1-3 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) |
| 21/06/23 Ecuador Primera Women | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Quito FC (W) |
| 13/05/23 Ecuador Primera Women | Quito FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) |
Standings · Ecuador Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU Quito (W) | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 5 | 37 |
| 2 | Independiente del Valle (W) | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 3 | 34 |
| 3 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 5 | 34 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 6 | Carneras UPS (W) | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 13 |
| 8 | Emelec (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 10 |
| 9 | CD Espuce (W) | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 4 |
| 10 | EL Nacional (W) | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 3 |
| 11 | Quito FC (W) | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 3 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | Quito FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle (W) | 1-2 L | 0-12 L |
| Macara (W) | 6-0 W | 2-3 L |
| LDU Quito (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Carneras UPS (W) | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 5-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Emelec (W) | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| CD Espuce (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Quito FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-4 | 0-12 | 0 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Quito FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 86%, draw 8%, Quito FC (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Quito FC (W)?
The model expects 4.7 goals (Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 3.35 · Quito FC (W) 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Quito FC (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.